My Bowl Picks vs A Coin Flip

On any given Saturday between late August and early December, you can find me on a couch watching college football. I would like to think my knowledge of the sport is quite comprehensive but unfortunately it has not translated over to my picks during bowl season. In almost 10 years, I cannot recall a year in which I haven’t given up by the Hawaii bowl. This season I will be comparing my own bowl picks to a coin flip and see which one has greater success. If the coin wins I will be implementing it in my 2020 strategy.

From what I remember from 7th grade and the scientific method, I need a hypothesis. My hypothesis is that the coin will win in a landslide. My materials are a standard US Quarter and a poorly formatted excel spreadsheet. After flipping the coin 40 times and annoying my brother trying to watch TV in the living room here are the results

BOWLMatch upMY PickCoin Pick
Bahamas Buffalo vs CharlotteBuffaloBuffalo
FriscoUtah St vs Kent StateUtah StateUtah State
CelebrationAlcorn St vs NC A&TNC A&TAlcorn St
New MexicoSDSU vs Cent MichCMUSDSU
Cure BowlGeorgia Southern vs LibertyGSULiberty
Boca RatonSMU vs FAUSMUSMU
CamelliaArk St. vs FIUAKSTFIU
Las VegasWashington vs. Boise StBSUBSU
New OrleansApp St. vs UABApp StUAB
GasparillaUCF vs MarshallUCFMarshall
HawaiiBYU vs HawaiiHawaiiHawaii
IndependenceMiami vs LA TechLA TechLA Tech
Quick LanePITT vs EMUPITTPITT
MilitaryUNC vs TempleUNCTemple
PinstripeMich St vs WakeMSUWake
TexasTAMU vs OK STOSUOSU
HolidayIowa vs USCIowaIowa
Cheez-ITAFA vs Wash StAFA WSU
Camping WorldNotre Dame vs Iowa StISUISU
CottonPenn St vs MemphisPSUPSU
PeachLSU vs OULSULSU
FiestaClemson vs Ohio StClemClem
First ResponderWestern Kent vs Western MichWKUWMU
Music CityMiss St vs LouisvilleMSUL’ville
RedboxCal vs IllinoisCalIllini
OrangeFlorida vs VirginiaUFUVA
BelkVirginia Tech vs KentuckyVTVT
SunASU vs FSUASUFSU
LibertyK-State vs NavyNavyNavy
ArizonaWyoming vs Georgia StateWYOWYO
Alamo Utah vs TexasUtahTexas
CitrusBama vs MichiganBamaBama
OutbackAuburn vs MinnesotaMinnMinn
RoseWisconsin vs. OregonWiscOre
SugarGeorgia vs BaylorUGABay
BirminghamCincinnati vs Boston CollegeCinciBC
GatorTennesee vs IndianaIndianaIndiana
Idaho PotatoOhio vs NevadaOhioOhio
Armed ForcesTulane vs Southern MissTulaneTulane
Lending TreeULL vs Miami (OH)ULLMIOH

Out of the 40 bowls that have been picked, the coin and my selection differ a total of 20 times. With 1 out of 2 bowls differing I (hypothetically speaking) could lose in an absolute landslide. If that is the case I may just need to retire from anything related to college football and stick to the NFL.

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